Thursday, May 24, 2012

The Tale of Two Ikes

Ike Davis' splits page (linked) shows some pretty interesting stats that actually show a distinct dichotomy in Ike's 2012 season.


  • Ike Davis is hitting only .065/.134/.081 at Citi Field this year (4/62, .105 BABIP), and a (relatively) much more respectable .229/.273/.446 on the road (19/83, .241 BABIP). Comparing to his career .263/.334/.450 mark, it seems that though he may be getting hits at a lesser rate, he's driving the ball well in visiting parks.
  • Ike is hitting .280/.308/.520 (7/25, 3 2B, 1 HR) from the 7th spot in the batting order, compared to .133/.194/.242 elsewhere (16/120, 1 2B, 4 HR). Certainly too small a sample size to draw conclusions, and he's still not drawing walks, but Ike's bat has been powerful down in that spot.
  • Ike is hitting .303/.303/.615 (4/13, 1 2B, 1 HR) with runners on the corners.
  • Ike vs. RHP - .146/.219/.271
  • Ike vs. LHP - .184/.200/.327
  • Ike's numbers on balls hit to the outfield - .429/.429/.881 (18/42)
  • Ike's numbers on balls hit to right field - .464/.464/1.036 (13/28)

Ike has been disappointing this year, and has looked lost at the plate. Even with a vote of confidence from Terry Collins, many are still calling for him to spend time in AAA. His poor play at the plate is hurting the team, but the question remains whether the time in AAA will come back to Queens with him. 

I don't claim to have any secrets to Ike's game; in fact I don't have cable in my apartment so I rarely see him play. That said, I think there are two red flags from these numbers:
  1.  Ike Davis is having great results pulling the ball (18/42) and terrible results going to the opposite fields (10/73).
  2. Roughly half (49/101) of Ike's AB's that ended with a ball in play are ground balls, and have yielded only 8 singles. 
It's not a long-term solution, but perhaps Collins and hitting coach Dave Hudgens should work with Ike Davis on pulling balls to right field, which he has always done well, to build some confidence. He can't get much worse at the plate, so perhaps having him focus on one specific task at the plate may help him bust this funk.

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